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All posts by Ana Fuentes

fed

The Federal Reserve was all set for mid-2015. Is that still true?

World economy

SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas On December 2 2014, Stanley Fisher gave an interview (video) to Jon Hilsenrath of the WSJ. It was notable because Fischer had mostly been quiet, except for a couple of Lectures (not speeches) – herehere – given in international forums.  Six or seven weeks later, is that interview still pertinent? At that point oil prices stood at close to USD 70 and now they stand below 50. Mostly as a reflection of low global AD (here).The global scenario is changing quickly, and not for the better. So maybe Fischer is not so sure anymore. [Image:WSJ]

 

bini
In Europe

“The ECB can implement quantitative easing in a much more aggressive way”

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes | Dissensions at the ECB’s the Governing Council are well-known, and still have a long way to go. While some counselors require a truly expansive monetary policy which helps curbing the deflationary expectations, others deny these latter and therefore refuse to go further and define balance sheet expansion targets. Lorenzo Bini Smaghi, who was Member of the Executive Board of the European Central Bank from June 2005 to November 2011, is among those who believe that the ECB can take much stronger action.

 

A man walks past a pre-election poster of the Democratic Alliance party at a bus station in Athens
In Europe

“If Syriza wants to obtain a better deal from Greece’s lenders, it will have to offer something in return”

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes | The possibility that leftist party SYRIZA wins next Greece’s elections on January 25th is hitting the European markets since this may involve a new kind of arrangement with Brussels about the country’s bailout and the precautionary line. According to Greek journalist at Macropolis, Nick Malkoutzis, “if the party offers structural reforms that would clean up Greek politics, improve tax collection and make the public administration more efficient, the Eurozone might be prepared to listen to what SYRIZA has to say”.

India
World economy

India under Modi –an entrepreneur’s view

BANGALORE | By Srikanth VasurajComing from a non-believer this is a big change when I say that I am actually glad that Mr. Narendra Modi has taken over the helm in India. He comes across like a breath of fresh air, speaking the language that people of India have been dying to hear for a long time. This is probably one of the reasons why he won with such a huge mandate. But now that the dust of elections has settled and having been in the hot seat for around six months, the honeymoon period is over and people are eagerly looking forward to delivery on all those promises. The people of India have delivered. Now its his turn.

Saito-TN
World economy

“People forget that QE is a Japanese innovation”

MADRID | By Ana Fuentes | In a blow to PM Shinzo Abe, the Japanese inflation rate fell to its lowest level in over a year in November (0.7% from a 0.9% rise the previous month, according to government data released Friday), complicating efforts of the central bank to end more than a decade of chronic price falls. Does this mean, as stimulus sceptics put it, that the Abenomics are doomed? Advisor to the new government and one of the 100 Most Influential People for Japan according to Nikkei Business, William H. Saito believes we have been quick to judge their strategy. As he explained to me, they have “many plan B’s left.”

 

grecia_tsiprasTC
In Europe

Greek elections: Syriza’s date with history

ATHENS | By Nick Malkoutzis via MacroPolisSyriza leader Alexis Tsipras is following a well-trodden route by trying to force early elections over the presidential ballot. Several others before him have tried to exploit the loophole in the Greek constitution which means that snap polls have to be held if 180 MPs cannot be found to back a presidential candidate. The most recent opposition leader to follow this tactic was PASOK’s George Papandreou in 2009. 

dollar_rollo_TC
World economy

The Fed’s motto: Mistakes should be repeated!

SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes via Historinhas | Fed officials have great difficulty in thinking outside the box, ceaselessly repeating themselves. If they stopped to think for a moment they would see what´s very different now from what presented itself ten years ago. And the significant difference is not in the rate of inflation or the rate of unemployment, but in the level trend and growth rate of nominal spending