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Inflation: A monetary cancer metastasizes in Europe

In Europe

VIENNA | By Keith Weiner via Truman Factor | The European Central Bank again cut the interest rates it controls. Notably, the deposit rate was moved deeper into negative territory. It is now -0.2% (minus 20 basis points, that is not a typo). The ECB says it’s trying to nudge prices higher, but it’s actually feeding the cancer of falling interest. The linked article above, like most, is focused on the quantity of euros and the presumed direct relationship to price. The following bit of editorializing from that article is uncontroversial in Frankfurt, London, New York, Mumbai, or Shanghai.

World economy

Economic growth is not enough

By the RSA | Two-thirds of the world’s population live in countries that are now more unequal than they were in 1980. Our politicians are hung up on keeping the economic growth curve rising. But does GDP really tell us all we need to know about a country’s wealth and well-being? In this Royal Society for the encouragement of Arts, Manufactures and Commerce (RSA) Short, Kate Raworth makes a powerful argument to look beyond economic growth alone for a true measure of prosperity and progress.

In Europe

Does Greece need a third programme?

By Jens Bastian via MacroPolis | During his visit to Berlin this week, Prime Minister Antonis Samaras repeatedly emphasised that Greece does not require a third financial support programme. In his conversation with Chancellor Angela Merkel he highlighted that the Greek sovereign was able to successfully return to international bond markets in April after a three-year forced hiatus.

In Europe

EU’s economic recovery, ECB style

MADRID | By Álex García.

In Europe

Greece is least socially just country in EU, report indicates

ATHENS | By MacroPolis | Greece is the most socially unjust country in the European Union, with its performance deteriorating rapidly during the crisis, according to a recent study by the Bertelsmann Foundation

china growth
World economy

China: It’s either pure growth or rebalancing

MADRID | The Corner | As markets continue to worry about China’s slowing growth, an increasing number of observers believe that Beijing is at a crossroads. Chinese authorities have a decision to make: should they choose  to simply focus on the numbers or to increase quality? According to a Morgan Stanley analyst on Thursday, it is a case of “either-or” for the Asian giant’s. With the country highly leveraged and its economic imbalances also coming into focus, the time appears to have arrived for the Chinese to plot a definitive roadmap for the way ahead.

In Europe

Euro area: A chartbook of key economic indicators

LONDON | The Corner | According to experts at Barclays, the significant depreciation of EUR/USD (Fig 1) has been a key data event in the past few months. However, the sharp fall in oil prices has partially offset this positive effect on inflation, which has remained at 0.4% y/y in August. The inflation data remain crucial for the ECB, which has repeatedly emphasised that there is unanimous commitment to use all available tools to prevent a period of prolonged low inflation. We now expect QE on sovereign bonds, most likely by Q1 15.