LONDON | City-based fund manager Pawel Morski (pseudonym) believes the EU is recognising it is moving towards a new regime of bailing in banks. For a non-template, he points out, the Cyprus solution drops some cracking clues as to Brussels’ priorities.
Wanna bet the ECB won’t disclose its plan?
Governments and markets are anxiously waiting for Draghi’s words to know what the ECB plans to do. They might be deceived by the lukewarm message he is likely to deliver. Central bankers have a keen expertise in saying as little as possible. Greenspan was an outstanding master in playing that game. Draghi while following his [...]
Banking union: the new battleground for Europe
As European financial crisis enters a critical stage, should the ECB have the power to supervise all euro zone banks as well as those in non-euro zone countries that choose to become part of a single mechanism or shall it focus on monitoring only the big, systemic banks instead? European commissioner for economic and monetary [...]
There will not be Spanish debt buying unless profitability goes up (JP Morgan)
By Tania Suárez, Madrid | It seems that September will be a busy month, the beginning of a year full of interesting appointments for investors. As noted from JPMorgan, markets have already priced in aggressive Spanish debt buying by the European Central Bank, “but the risks shall remain high.” Many sources agree that the ECB [...]
After EBC’s meeting, Portuguese bailout (JP Morgan)
By Tania Suárez, Madrid | Global growth will remain below trend until later this year, according to JP Morgan expectations. Rates have dropped less than 50bp from their peaks in 2011 and are projected to fall further 20bp until late 2012. Developed markets authorities believe that “the limit of zero interest rates has eliminated the [...]
What Draghi really meant
By JLM Campuzano, analyst, in Madrid | If the governor of the European Central Bank (ECB) said nothing new, why did the markets drop? To be sure, there was a deep sense of disappointment. His comments a week ago had sparked high expectations and, whether Mario Draghi admits it or not, hopes haven’t been met. [...]
Draghi slaps Madrid, Rome on the knee
LONDON | Did you hear the thump, too? While Mario Draghi amiably laughed from Frankfurt am Main about the varied readings forced on his London speech, stock indexes in Spain, France, Italy and Germany lost their step and jumped into the void at once. The staggering gap left by his Friday 2:30 pm press conference [...]
Is the Fed also waiting for Draghi?
Ben Bernanke is not taking the wallet out of his pocket, at least not yet. The Fed will first assess July and August US unemployment reports and also “financial developments”, as it said in a statement at the conclusion of a two-day meeting in Washington. Meaning what? Meaning financial stability in Europe, which is one [...]
Is Spain definitely out of trouble?
MADRID | The Spanish Economy minister Mr Luis de Guindos boldly stated to feel much the same as in the midst of the sell-out tempest, shortly after Draghi’s soothing promise. No one took seriously his assessment and yet he might be right. After all, Draghi is at best offering extra time to put the house in [...]
Oops, Draghi did it again
From valenciaplaza.com |Â The president of the European Central Bank, Mario Draghi, fulfilled one more time what has become an uninspiring habit in relation to European equity markets and particularly in regard to the Spanish Ibex 35. Madrid closed Thursday with sharp declines again after the words of the Italian banker in the press conference that [...]
