Today Germany’s budget 2015: Saving to grow or growing to save?
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The Corner contextualizes the EU’s economy from Spain with exclusive analysis from market leaders.

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China’s growing private sector

World economy

By Richard N. Cooper via Caixin | There is a widespread impression both inside China and out that after the vigorous economic reforms of the 1980s and 1990s, moving away from central planning and state control to greater emphasis on markets, the reform process stopped, or even reversed, during the 2002-2012 period. This view was perhaps reinforced by the emphasis in the third plenum of the Communist Party’s 18th Central Committee in November 2013 on the need to move further toward less guidance from the state and greater reliance on market prices to allocate resources.


The ECB’s stress tests deserve praise

MADRID | By Francisco López | Market watchers have something in common with journalists: they prefer criticism rather than compliments –as can be seen from the analysis of the European Central Bank’s stress tests. Criticism is growing, even though markets had already envisaged the results and neither the institution nor Mario Draghi is willing to defend the banking examination. 

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“QE ends and I feel fine”

WASHINGTON | Comment by UBS analysts | The FOMC ended QE and made its Fed funds rate hike guidance a bit more data- dependent. While the funds rate is likely to remain in its current range “for a considerable time” after asset purchases end at the end of this month, rate hikes could occur sooner or later than the Fed currently anticipates depending on the evolution of economic data. This was as straightforward an FOMC statement as could have been expected at the end of QE. It does not suggest changes in Fed thinking; nor does it change our expectations for the first Fed fund rate hike in mid-2015. 

World economy

The Fed becomes slightly more hawkish

MADRID | The Corner | As expected, the Fed confirmed the end of its QE3, although the announcement was slightly more restrictive. According to experts at Link Securitites, “while the decision shows that US economic conditions have improved (especially the labour market) and inflation remains at low levels, the message tone was more hawkish.” 

World economy

Fed shutters bond-buying program

MADRID | The Corner | Showing its confidence in the US economic recovery and the jobs market, the Fed announced it will put an end to its bond purchases scheme before the end of this week, the central bank announced after its FOMC two-days meeting on Thursday. Short-term interest rates will remain near zero for a “considerable time”.

World economy

Central bankers are blind to new Phillips curve? Or just sadists?

SAO PAULO | By Benjamin Cole via HistorinhasNo, I do not have dense pages of calculus for the reader, purporting that QE would be ruin or divine salvation, or that minor deflation is the theoretical apex of an economic model.

In Europe

A significant step forward in the global fight against tax evasion

BERLIN | By Alberto Lozano | While European media focus their attention on  low inflation across Europe, concerns about the budgets of France and Italy, as well as the  need for investment in Germany, more than 50 countries are about to take a crucial step in the fight against tax avoidance: the signing of the Multilateral Competent Authority Agreement on implementing a new international standard in the automatic exchange of information (AEOI).

tax evasion