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Waiting for Godot in Greece

In Europe

ATHENS | By Jens Bastian via MacroPolisAccording to its Wikipedia article, Waiting for Godot by Irish writer Samuel Beckett is an absurdist play, in which two characters, Vladimir and Estragon, wait endlessly and in vain for the arrival of someone named Godot. The current situation in Athens has remarkable similarities with this classic piece of European literature. 

In Europe

ECB: two quotes, one graph

MADRID | The Corner | Mario Draghi: “Some form of cross-country risk-sharing is essential to help reduce adjustment costs for those countries and prevent recessions from leaving deep and permanent scars.”/ Jens Weidmann:Fiscal policy should support the central bank with solid state finances, so that monetary policy can concentrate on its actual mandate, and sustainably secure the value of money.”

inflation in the eurozone
In Europe

Italian economy: hope behind the drama

MADRID | The Corner | A few weeks ago, Italy’s PM aide said the country had an “atomic bomb” to revive the economy, meaning a massive tax cut primarily on low to middle range wages that would help to boost domestic demand. Indeed, Rome has seen better days: GDP is expected to shrink 0.4% this year, according to the latest European Commission forecasts, far from the 0.8% growth predicted by Rome just after Mr Renzi took office in February. Its industrial sector, a traditional backbone of the Italian economy, registered a 25pp output gap to the eurozone industry since 1999. Yet the current combination of loose monetary policy, lesser fiscal drag or even outright fiscal stimulus, improving credit conditions and a weaker exchange rate leave the country far from being the sick man of Europe, as some have said.

 

Italia_IndustriaTC
World economy

All eyes on OPEC

MADRID | The Corner | Oil prices continue to fall ahead of the much-awaited OPEC meeting today, which will start at 9:00GMT –a press conference will be held at 15:00GMT. Brent crude and WTI both fell to four-year lows on concerns that oil producers will not make the large supply cuts needed to contain the slide. Analysts at Barclays believe that with an absence of basing signals for WTI crude, the risk remains lower towards 70.76. Will the oil cartel react?

OPEC
World economy

A hundred-year stagnation? For who?

By Alberto Forchielli via Caixin | The creation of the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank (AIIB) is a necessary objective. Anyone who travels in the Far East finds confirmation of the desperate lack of efficient networks. With the exception of Japan and other developed economies, countries see their ambitions reduced by chronic underdevelopment. How can we forcefully industrialize agrarian countries if the goods produced are not transported on paved roads, via trucks, for eventual export?
Chinese stagnation
In Europe

“European leaders need to act”, says OECD’s Head of EU and Eurozone

MADRID | By Sean Duffy | The latest economic outlook from the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) forecasts a bleak outlook for Europe unless action is taken. The Corner asked Piritta Sorsa, Head of EU and Eurozone surveillance at the OECD about the increased sense of urgency, sovereign bond proposals and the necessity for consensus among Eurozone members.

OCDE_recurso_TC
World economy

“All quiet on the economic front”

SAO PAULO | By Marcus Nunes via HistorinhasThere´s absolutely nothing new on the economic front! So why there´s so much talk about “policy normalization” (i.e. increase in rates)?

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